Research on the Method of Estimating Technology Maturity of Medical
Equipment Technology Based on Technology Evolution Theories
LI Bin1, BI Fan1, CHEN Ying1,
WANG Cheng2, JIANG Rui-yao1
1.Department of Medical Equipment,
the 6th People’s Hospital Affiliated to
Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai
200233, China; 2.The Library of School
of Medicine of Shanghai Jiao Tong
University, Shanghai 200025, China
Abstract：This paper introduced the theory of technology evolution and discussed the methods of
estimating technology maturity, including the TRL (Technical Readiness Level), patent analysis,
bibliometric, marketing research and expert consultation. In combination with the features of medical equipment technology, the maturity evaluation method was firstly applied to the medical equipment
technology so as to make a research on maturity evaluation of the new medical equipment technology
and the domestic medical equipment. At last, with application of the theory of technology evolution in
new medical equipment technology maturity evaluation, this paper made a discussion on the evaluation
methods and their application prospects.
Key words: technology evolution theories; medical equipment technology; S-evolution curve; maturity
assessment; domestic medical equipment
李斌1，毕帆1，陈颖1，王成2，
姜瑞瑶1. 基于技术进化理论的医学装备技术成熟
度评价方法的研究[J]. 中国医疗设备, 2015, 30(5): 1-5.
LI Bin1, BI Fan1, CHEN Ying1,
WANG Cheng2, JIANG Rui-yao1. Research on the Method of Estimating Technology Maturity of Medical
Equipment Technology Based on Technology Evolution Theories. China Medical Devices, 2015, 30(5): 1-5.
